This year it forecast a Biden victory by 329 electoral votes to 209. The PollyVote project, widely published in academic journals, goes a step further, combining information contained in betting markets with forecasting models, experts and beyond.
This year it was projecting Biden to win the electoral college by 321 votes to 217.
The other go-to place for expert opinion with a long track record of solid performance (except in 2016) is Sabato’s Crystal Ball based at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
